AI & ML
Drift-Resilient Predictive Interference Management: Online Adaptation of an Extreme-Value Predictor
arXiv math.IT0 views
arXiv:2611.08132v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predictive interference management supports ultra-reliable low-latency communication (URLLC) by allocating finite-blocklength resources against a high conditional quantile of next-slot interference. Building on an extreme-value-theory/kernel-density-estimation (EVT/KDE) predictor with quantile-defined interference states, this paper makes the predictor resilient to unannounced shifts in the interference distribution. Its cumulative refitting on all past observations does not specify how the state partition and retained samples should evolve after a regime change. We show that drift first makes the quantile partition inefficient: cumulative refitting preserves tail support and coverage but cannot recover conditional resolution, and pays for it in channel use, whereas discarding history starves the tail estimator. We therefore propose event-triggered quantile-space adaptation. A nonparametric cumulative sum (CUSUM) on the predictor's level stream detects change. At each confirmed event, the quantile partition is re-derived from post-change observations, retained history is re-binned under it, and each state is refit from a bounded per-state memory, capped to balance stale-regime bias against tail-estimation variance, with a closed-form L-moment tail estimator. At a nominal coverage target $\eta\!=\!0.99$, relative to matched cumulative refitting with fixed states, the proposed method reduces channel use by $5.7$--$13.2\%$ and quantile pinball loss by $25$--$50\%$ across abrupt, incremental, compound, downward, and reversal drift, with coverage changing by $-0.5$ to $+1.0$ percentage points. At matched achieved coverage, it saves $4$--$18\%$ of channel uses, while resource use in load-only and stationary cases changes by less than $0.5\%$. With $K$ samples per state and $L$ states, predictor memory is bounded at $O(KL)$ rather than growing as $O(t)$.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.08132PreviousBetween Hi-Fi and MMI: the overlap of redundancy and synergy in partial information decompositionNextAI-Native Task-Oriented Semantic Communications over a Relay: Benefits and Vulnerabilities
Related posts
How to Convert Any Webpage to Clean Markdown for RAG & Save 90% LLM Tokens in Node.js
0dev.to
Calibration‑free top‑k MoE selector saves tuning
0dev.to
How to Evaluate RAG Retrieval in 2026: Question Sets, Metrics That Mislead, and a Practical Recipe
0dev.to
Reading a Competitor's Pricing Page Like an Engineer
0dev.to
Day 4: Adding VLAN support
0dev.to

Browser-local image tools: how to check the upload boundary
0dev.to