arXiv:2610.04801v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A useful model of AI inference infrastructure must specify the system state, the information available to an observer, and the decisions the model is intended to support. We introduce AID (AI Infrastructure Dynamics), a framework for describing this learning problem across coupled physical, computational, networking, and serving processes. The formulation allows structured and variable-size state, asynchronous observations, multiple physical timescales, and demand that responds to service. We distinguish representations that support prediction under an existing policy from those that preserve service outcomes under changed actions, and separate both from identifying intervention responses. Two analytical results describe a lower bound on prediction error when available observations cannot distinguish models and a sufficient condition for exact controlled state reduction. These results apply established information and state-abstraction principles to AI infrastructure. We then describe a validation protocol for cache representations, workload histories, measurement availability, and imposed actions.