AI & ML
Anchored Reversible Jump Sequential Monte Carlo
arXiv stat.TH0 views
arXiv:2610.09930v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) is a principled framework for Bayesian model comparison, but its practical use is often limited due to the difficulty of designing between-model proposals that reach regions of high posterior probability. In addition, its inherently sequential nature limits efficient use of modern GPU architectures. We address both challenges by introducing Anchored Reversible Jump Sequential Monte Carlo. Our approach combines RJMCMC with Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) to explore the model space in parallel. Importantly, the particle population enables effective between-model proposals without problem-specific knowledge: particles are used to construct kernel density approximations of the target distributions within each model, which are then used to generate trans-dimensional proposals. Numerical experiments show that the proposed method is computationally efficient and competitive with state-of-the-art RJMCMC approaches, demonstrating its potential for scalable Bayesian model comparison.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.09930PreviousOutperformance Inverse Optimization: Learning Objective Functions that Outperform Agent DecisionsNextMultivariate LSTM Modeling for Wastewater Quality Prediction
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