AI & ML
Asymmetric Space-Time Covariance Functions via Hierarchical Mixtures
arXiv stat.TH0 views
arXiv:2511.07959v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This work is focused on constructing space-time covariance functions through a hierarchical mixture approach that can serve as building blocks for capturing complex dependency structures. This approach provides a unifying modeling framework that not only constructs a new class of asymmetric space-time covariance functions with closed-form expressions, but also provides corresponding space-time process representations, which further unify constructions for several existing space-time covariance models. This hierarchical mixture framework decomposes the complexity of model specification at different levels of hierarchy, for which parsimonious covariance models can be specified with simple mixing measures to yield flexible properties and closed forms. A characterization theorem is provided to study how the mixing measures determine the statistical properties of covariance functions. Several new covariance models resulting from this framework are discussed in terms of their practical usefulness. This hierarchical mixture approach is extended for nonstationary and multivariate settings. A theorem is also provided to construct valid asymmetric space-time covariance functions with arbitrary and possibly different degrees of smoothness and long-range dependence in space and in time. This generalized class also bridges a theoretical gap in using the Lagrangian reference framework. The superior performance of several new parsimonious covariance models over existing models is verified with the well-known Irish wind data and the U.S. air temperature data.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.07959PreviousMultiscale Sequential Auditing of Quantile Regression with Point MassesNextReplica Symmetry Breaking and Algorithmic Thresholds in Empirical Risk Minimization under Multi-Index Model
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