AI & ML
Backtracking Direct, Indirect and Total Effects
arXiv stat.ML0 views
arXiv:2610.28910v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Natural direct and indirect effects are defined through cross-world interventional counterfactuals. We propose an alternative construction based on backtracking counterfactuals. Rather than intervening on the treatment or mediator, we use a backtracking conditional distribution to construct an alternative exogenous state satisfying a desired treatment-mediator constraint. This yields the backtracking direct and indirect effects, and also the backtracking total effect. Likewise, we adapt the population intervention effects.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.28910PreviousActually, All Learnable Distribution Classes Are Privately LearnableNextAuditing Conformal Prediction for Language Models Under Inference-Time Model Shift
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