AI & ML
Causal Inference in Metric Spaces via Distance Profiles
arXiv stat.ML0 views
arXiv:2610.33491v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern interventions increasingly produce object-valued outcomes, such as distributions, covariance matrices, networks, and trees. Existing causal frameworks often exploit special geometry such as one-dimensional Wasserstein quantiles or geodesic Fr\'echet means, whereas metric statistics studies random objects without confounding adjustment. We propose the profile causal effect $\Delta(\omega,t)$, which describes where and at what scale a treatment shifts probability mass, including changes in dispersion, tails, or structure that leave mean-level summaries unchanged. Formally, $\Delta(\omega,t)=\Pr\{d(\omega,Y(1))\le t\}-\Pr\{d(\omega,Y(0))\le t\}$ contrasts the potential-outcome probabilities of the same anchor-centered metric ball and requires no structure beyond the metric. On grids fixed by a deterministic or auxiliary design, we combine cross-fitted doubly robust scores with high-dimensional Gaussian approximation and the multiplier bootstrap to obtain simultaneous confidence bands and a global test under regularity conditions. The bands bound treatment-induced changes in ball and shell probabilities simultaneously and, at fixed anchors, extend to all radii. A protocol guides the choice of anchors and radii. Across the experiments, the global test detects concentration effects that mean-quantile and Fr\'echet-mean summaries miss. Its empirical size is near or below the nominal level, even under confounding, where naive metric tests are substantially oversized.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.33491PreviousFaithful Federated Tabular Data SynthesisNextHow Geometry Shapes Generative Model Evaluation on Riemannian Manifolds
Related posts

Build World Models for Interactive Simulation with NVIDIA Cosmos
0NVIDIA Developer Blog
Seeing and Imagining as One: Unified Video Generation and 4D Perception for Embodied World Modeling
0arXiv cs.RO
Shared Modular Recurrence in Contextual MDPs for Universal Morphology Control
0arXiv cs.RO
BeeTalk 群主必备:AI 群管机器人 AIGB 免费解决垃圾信息问题
0dev.to AI
I Open-Sourced a Free YouTube Shorts Factory. The Money Isn't in the Shorts.
0dev.to AI
Priced per TB/s, the H200 beats the H100 at 6 of 7 providers
0dev.to Python