AI & ML
Combining e-values using demi-supermartingales
arXiv math.IT0 views
arXiv:2603.10329v4 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a new method for combining e-variables through demi-supermartingales, which settles an old conjecture in the literature on nonparametric mean testing. It also provides an explicit concentration bound for a certain Kullback--Leibler-type statistic arising in the stochastic multi-armed bandit literature. All of these combination results hold for independent e-variables as well as for the class of co-valid e-variables, whose dependence structure lies somewhere between independence and sequential validity. The results are further generalized to compound e-variables. The proofs proceed by analyzing elementary symmetric polynomials and their behavior as nonnegative demi-supermartingales.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.10329PreviousWhen Majority-Vote Fails: Sequence Reconstruction under Fixed-Weight SubstitutionsNextPQ-Vault: Provably Quantum-Safe Asset Custody for Unmodified Ethereum
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