AI & ML
Divide-and-Conquer Neural Bayes Estimation for Spatial and Spatiotemporal Point Process Models
arXiv stat.CO0 views
arXiv:2610.27619v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Spatial and spatiotemporal point process models are widely used to analyze event data across many scientific disciplines, but likelihood-based Bayesian inference is often computationally prohibitive due to intractable likelihoods, high-dimensional latent structures, and dependence on event history. Existing approximate and likelihood-free methods mitigate some of these challenges, but often at the cost of reduced statistical efficiency, imperfect uncertainty quantification, or information loss from reliance on predefined summary statistics. A promising recent approach involves neural networks, but it has only been explored in purely spatial or temporal settings and requires a computationally expensive training stage for large domains or dense point patterns. Here, we propose a divide-and-conquer neural Bayes estimation framework for spatial and spatiotemporal point process models. Our method operates directly on raw point pattern realizations using transformer-based architectures on partitions of the spatiotemporal domain, together with an attention mechanism to optimally combine locally extracted summaries. Simulation studies demonstrate reliable inference with improved scalability relative to existing general-purpose neural inference approaches and classical likelihood-based methods. We further demonstrate the practical applicability of our approach through an analysis of whale call data in Cape Cod Bay, MA, where, once trained, the estimator yields parameter estimates and credible intervals at negligible computational cost.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.27619PreviousBayesian Neural Networks via Dirichlet Process Priors on the Data-Generating Distribution for Randomized Value Functions in Deep Reinforcement LearningNextControl variates for dry friction under colored noise: variance rates for non-smooth observables
Related posts
The Card-Update Page Gets One Visit. Design for That Visit.
0dev.to UX
SaaS Partner Scout: A Script for Identifying GitHub SaaS Project Contributors
0dev.to GitHub
WARN Act and Retaliation — Can Your Employer Punish You for Asking About a Layoff Notice?
0dev.to Data
WARN Act and Mental Health: What a Layoff Notice Does to Your Wellbeing, and Where to Get Support
0dev.to Data
Dimensionare un pallettizzatore dal lato del progettista: i tre numeri che non stanno nelle brochure
0dev.to Design
How to Choose the Best Stretch Tent Supplier for Your Next Purchase
0dev.to Design