arXiv:2611.08898v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable relative tracking is fundamental to cooperative autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs), yet remains challenging under nonlinear vehicle dynamics and degraded underwater visual conditions. Active light markers improve robustness to appearance variation, but provide deliberately sparse observations that can become incomplete or corrupted by occlusion, reflections, and detection noise during dynamic motion. To address the resulting partial-observation control problem, this paper proposes FATHOM, a world-model-guided diffusion action-trajectory selection framework for sparse-marker AUV tracking. FATHOM first integrates structured marker observations, inertial measurements, action history, and temporal dynamics into a predictive tracking belief using a multimodal task-supervised recurrent state-space model. A diffusion action prior then generates multiple expert-like multi-thruster trajectories, whose future tracking consequences are predicted through the learned latent dynamics. Rather than directly executing a generated trajectory, FATHOM selects the most favorable candidate under an explicit receding-horizon objective and continually updates the decision from onboard observations. Extensive offline analyses verify the learned predictive belief, multi-step world-model prediction, diffusion trajectory generation, and predictive selection. More importantly, comprehensive real-AUV experiments, including strong pose-based comparisons and component ablations, demonstrate robust autonomous tracking across nominal and challenging motions with naturally occurring partial marker visibility, while maintaining real-time onboard operation without motion-capture feedback.