AI & ML
Hitting-Time Bounds for Asynchronous Q-Learning
arXiv stat.ML0 views
arXiv:2610.13901v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study the last iterate of standard asynchronous Q-learning from a single trajectory of a finite Markov decision process. The trajectory follows a fixed behavior policy whose state--action chain is irreducible and may be periodic. For discount factor $\gamma$, write $H=(1-\gamma)^{-1}$, and let $\mu_{\min}$ be the minimum stationary state--action probability and $\mathfrak h_\star$ the largest expected hitting time of the reverse state--action chain. We prove that zero-initialized Q-learning with a constant step size achieves sup-norm error at most $\varepsilon$ with high probability using $\widetilde{O}(H^4/(\mu_{\min}\varepsilon^2)+\mathfrak h_\star)$ transitions, for $0<\varepsilon\le1$. The statistical term retains the quartic effective-horizon dependence of standard Q-learning, while initialization cost is additive in $\mathfrak h_\star$. For aperiodic behavior chains, a comparison with mixing time yields a transient term $\widetilde{O}(t_{\mathrm{mix}}/\mu_{\min})$. An empirical state--action count rule selects a constant step size for a subsequent training run and attains the same rate without prior knowledge of model parameters, target accuracy, or confidence level. The output is the last training iterate, with both stages included in the sample count. The proof uses two deterministic Bellman envelopes to separate statistical error from fixed-policy initialization error and adapts reverse-time hitting-cost compensation from TD learning to state--action propagation. An exploration lower bound holds for arbitrary predictable step sizes. Together with the existing statistical lower bound and its extension to pilot-selected constant steps, it yields matching mean-square rates up to logarithmic factors on the stated large-sample parameter classes.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.13901PreviousFinite-Sample Guarantees for Fully Discrete Conditional Diffusion ModelsNextOn the estimation and validity of AI time horizons---a statistical look at the METR plot
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