AI & ML
Minimax Slope Estimation and Support Recovery under Weak Gaussian Selection
arXiv stat.TH0 views
arXiv:2610.24749v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In sample selection models, identifying a regression slope does not determine how accurately it can be estimated or distinguished from zero. We establish sharp uniform limits for outcome slopes in a fixed-dimensional Gaussian/probit selection model with unknown scale and an unknown covariate density bounded above and away from zero on a cube. We prove a uniform inverse bound between slope differences and observed-law Hellinger distance, allowing every nuisance parameter to differ between the two models. A matching path lies entirely within positive-correlation nonignorable selection. On parameter classes containing a feasible weak-selection neighborhood, the minimax squared slope risk is of order $n^{-2/3}$. For each prespecified minimum-signal sequence $b_n$, uniform exact support recovery is possible if and only if $n^{1/3}b_n\to\infty$, with rules allowed to depend on that sequence. The same estimator attains uniform root-$n$ slope accuracy on $\|\gamma_s\|\le M n^{-1/3}$ for each fixed finite $M\ge0$, including the exact zero-selection-slope layer. A testing-based construction establishes statistical attainability without estimating the covariate density; computational efficiency is not asserted.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.24749PreviousLocal quadratic convergence of iterated correlation matrices: bounds and counterexamplesNextSample complexity of weak-signal latent-variable models
Related posts

The Download: the agentic web arrives and the drive for safer roads
0MIT Technology Review

Stop counting tokens, start counting what ships
0MIT Technology Review
OpenAI is finally merging ChatGPT’s chat and Work tabs
0TechCrunch

10 Open-Source Robotics Repositories for 3D Perception, VLA Policies, and Sensor Calibration
0dev.to
My self-modifying system tried to wire a gate-passing module into its own protection enforcer. It was refused three times.
0dev.to
Last night an AI agent performed brain surgery on a mouse
0Hacker News