arXiv:2610.09970v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Affine frequency division multiplexing (AFDM) has emerged as a promising waveform for high-mobility communications owing to its ability to exploit multipath diversity. However, channel state information (CSI) acquisition remains challenging in channels with fractional delay and Doppler and an unknown number of propagation paths. In this paper, we investigate the channel estimation for AFDM systems. We first analyze the AFDM response in the presence of fractional-delay-induced frequency wrapping. The analysis reveals that fractional delay may displace the dominant extremum and generate informative secondary extrema. Then, we develop a model-order-adaptive channel estimator within an improved space-alternating generalized expectation-maximization (SAGE) framework. A dual-pilot reference symbol is employed for path and delay initialization, while pilot observations across multiple AFDM symbols provide temporal information for Doppler estimation. New paths are identified through statistically controlled residual tests, whereas unsupported or redundant paths are removed by conditional support pruning. The delay, Doppler frequency, and complex gain of each retained path are subsequently estimated through a coarse-to-fine procedure and refined using the exact AFDM likelihood. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves lower normalized mean squared error (NMSE) and bit error rate (BER) than representative SAGE, sparse-recovery, and Bayesian benchmarks. It also provides reliable path detection and model-order estimation and maintains robust performance at terminal velocities of up to 600~km/h.