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Multisource Remote Sensing and Geospatial Analysis of Vineyard Wildfire Impacts and Exposure: The 2019 Kincade Fire
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arXiv:2609.16168v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Working agricultural landscapes are often treated as background to wildfire disasters, even though they are managed fuel mosaics, productive assets, and parts of regional infrastructure systems. We examine vineyard wildfire resilience during the electrically initiated 2019 Kincade Fire in Sonoma County, California, using an open, event-anchored geospatial framework spanning 4,581 vineyard fields (8,813.2 ha), wildland vegetation, surveyed structures, roads, overhead smoke, and post-fire greenness. Sentinel-2, OpenET, gridMET, soils, terrain, NOAA smoke polygons, an ignition-date OpenStreetMap network, and three-dimensional data inventories were analyzed at native decision scales. Vineyard pixels showed substantially lower descriptive dNBR than wildland pixels inside the perimeter (means 0.130 and 0.337). This contrast did not identify a universal vineyard firebreak effect: a segment-clustered boundary model gave a small negative contrast at 100 m (tau = -0.0166) but changed across bandwidths, failed slope continuity, disappeared in a 100 m donut, and produced a wrong-signed placebo. A 250 m spatial GAM reversed the unconditional pattern: after conditioning on location, terrain, and water use, vineyard fraction was positively associated with dNBR, while residual Moran's I remained 0.519. Beyond spectral impact, all mapped vineyards intersected overhead smoke on at least one day (mean 7.78 potential smoke-days per field), 34.2% of road-network nodes were dead ends, and inside-perimeter vineyards showed a larger greenness deficit through 2021 (recovery ratios 0.815 inside and 0.854 outside). Lower immediate spectral impact therefore did not imply complete resilience. The study provides a reproducible urban-rural informatics template separating descriptive contrasts, conditional associations, exposure indicators, and recovery evidence for decisions in working landscapes.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.16168PreviousBenchmarking Classification Tasks of Chest X-ray AI Across Multinational Public and Private Datasets: a retrospective diagnostic accuracy studyNextA Sentinel-2 benchmark dataset for deep-learning active-fire segmentation across 25 California wildfires, July 2020-August 2026
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