AI & ML
Neural Inference Functions for Margins for Time Series Copula Models
arXiv stat.CO0 views
arXiv:2603.21075v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Copula models are widely employed in multivariate time series analysis because they permit flexible modelling of marginal distributions independently of the dependence structure, which is fully characterised by the copula function. However, Bayesian inference with these models becomes computationally demanding as the number of variables in the time series increases. Motivated by the classical inference functions for margins (IFM) approach, we propose a new neural-network based inference framework for estimating parameters in copula models, termed the neural inference functions for margins (N-IFM). N-IFM enables rapid parameter estimation for new data, fast sequential prediction, and efficient model comparison via time-series validation. We assess the performance of N-IFM using both simulated and real datasets and compare it to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, demonstrating substantial computational gains with comparable inferential accuracy.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.21075PreviousOptimal subsampling approach for Cox models under large-scale length-biased right-censored dataNextSLIM: Stochastic Learning and Inference in Nonlinear GMM Models
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