AI & ML
Regret-Optimal Linear-Quadratic Control under Distributional Drift
arXiv cs.SY0 views
arXiv:2610.09220v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study finite-horizon LQR with independent disturbances whose laws may drift over time. We address uncertainty in this evolution through ex-ante distributionally robust regret optimization (DRRO), which minimizes worst-case excess expected cost relative to the optimal causal controller that knows the law sequence. To specify the admissible law sequences, we introduce a temporally coupled moment ambiguity set with a Gelbrich kinetic-energy budget and a second budget limiting departures from reference moments and persistent cumulative mismatch. Despite the coupling of moments across time, affine disturbance-feedback synthesis reduces exactly to a semidefinite program. An optimal policy uses past disturbances to predict the correction to nominal LQR determined by current and future disturbance means. The SDP solution also yields worst-case moment paths and corresponding laws. For standard distributionally robust optimization (DRO), the analogous SDP relaxation can have a duality gap. Portfolio liquidation experiments show substantially lower worst-case regret over the drifting ambiguity set than common-law DRRO and nominal control.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.09220PreviousStructural Analysis of Hybrid-Trace Nets: An Optimization ApproachNextFluid Mixing and Incompressible Optimal Transport
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