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Spectral estimation for high-dimensional linear processes
arXiv stat.TH0 views
arXiv:2504.10257v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We develop a random-matrix-based framework for estimating the latent joint spectral distribution of the coefficient matrices and innovation covariance of a class of high-dimensional linear processes from the eigenvalues of weighted sample periodograms. The model assumes that these matrices share a common orthonormal eigenbasis, while the dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$ satisfy $p/n \to c \in (0,\infty)$. We derive the almost-sure limiting spectral distribution of frequency-weighted integrals of the sample periodogram and characterize its Stieltjes transform by a system of nonlinear integral equations involving the unknown joint spectrum. For a discrete spectrum supported on a prescribed grid, we estimate the mixture weights by matching empirical and limiting Stieltjes transforms with respect to the general $L_\kappa$ discrepancy, $\kappa\geq 1$, and establish consistency for $\kappa=2$. We further propose an estimator of the spectral density matrix and a bootstrap procedure to select among the candidate ARMA models. Simulations demonstrate accurate recovery of the underlying spectral distributions across several autoregressive and moving-average models, and an application to S\&P~500 returns reveals temporal dependence beyond the dominant market factor.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.10257PreviousSharp Cram\'er-type moderate deviation bounds for the self-normalized maximum of partial sumsNextRobustness for free: asymptotic size and power of max-tests in high dimensions
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