arXiv:2610.37043v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spacecraft-mounted robotic manipulators can support long-term operability of orbiting assets by conducting tasks such as on-orbit assembly, repair, upgrade, and refueling. In this context, the integration of continuum/soft robotic mechanisms into space manipulator designs promises to reduce stowage volume and mass, as well as to improve operational safety through the inherent mechanical compliance of soft structures. This work presents a novel state reconstruction pipeline for a hybrid soft-rigid space manipulator, in which the distal link is a tendon-driven continuum robot. The estimation problem is formulated as a maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference problem over the hybrid manipulator's configuration, conditioned on discrete, noisy measurements from joint encoders and a vision-based sensing pipeline. The resulting soft-constrained optimization problem is transcribed as a factor graph, providing a compact representation for fusing heterogeneous measurements with the rigid-soft kinematic model. Furthermore, the adoption of the Geometric Variable Strain (GVS) approach yields a minimum-order parameterization of the configuration, a property expected to facilitate model-based feedback control design in future work. The proposed implementation is validated in simulation on a closed-loop trajectory where, for better realism, position measurements for the continuum link are obtained by means of a simulated visual pipeline leveraging synthetic photorealistic images. The state reconstruction accuracy and computational performance confirm the potential of the proposed framework for hybrid soft-rigid robotic applications in orbit.