AI & ML
Sequential resetting procedures and false discovery rate
arXiv stat.TH0 views
arXiv:2610.09339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data arrive sequentially, each associated with a null hypothesis. We develop testing procedures to locate intervals in which some null hypotheses fail with false discovery rate (FDR) control. The new procedures are called sequential resetting procedures, and they are based on e-values and test supermartingales. We also develop a refined version of the procedures by dropping less informative data points before the block minimum of the test supermartingale in each rejection block. These procedures have explicit FDR bounds under two settings: a classic setting of independence and the more general setting of possible dependence across null data and non-null data. These FDR bounds are independent of the testing horizon, and the general one has anytime validity, but it has an extra logarithm factor compared with the standard FDR level. We present simulation studies and data experiments with applications of sequential resetting procedures to LLM watermark detection and financial backtesting.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.09339PreviousThe Geometry of Anisotropic Dilation for Optimal RegularizationNextFinite-Rank Logistic Gaussian Processes with Exact Likelihood for Conditional Density Estimation
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